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treatment of malaria’ Malaria Journal, 2011.) Более подробно этичность экспериментов на людях мы рассмотрим в главе 7.

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Биографические данные Маккендрика взяты из Gani J., ‘Anderson Gray McKendrick’, StatProb: The Encyclopedia Sponsored by Statistics and Probability Societies.

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Письмо GB 0809 Ross/106/28/60. Courtesy, Library & Archives Service, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine. © Ross Family.

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Письмо GB 0809 Ross/106/28/112. Courtesy, Library & Archives Service, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine. © Ross Family.

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Биографические данные Кермака взяты из Davidson J.N., ‘William Ogilvy Kermack’, Biographical Memoirs of Fellows of the Royal Society, 1971; Coutinho S.C., ‘A lost chapter in the pre-history of algebraic analysis: Whittaker on contact transformations’, Archive for History of Exact Sciences, 2010.

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Rozé B. et al., ‘Guillain-Barré Syndrome Associated With Zika Virus Infection in Martinique in 2016: A Prospective Study’, Clinical Infectious Diseases, 2017.

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Простая модель восприимчивых и зараженных Росса может быть записана следующим образом: dS/dt = —bSI, dI/dt = bSI, где b – скорость заражения. Максимальный прирост новых случаев заражения приходится на момент самого быстрого увеличения dI/dt, то есть когда вторая производная dI/dt равна нулю. Используя правило произведения, получаем: I = (3 – √3)/6 = 0,21.

62

Jackson A.C., ‘Diabolical effects of rabies encephalitis’, Journal of NeuroVirology, 2016.

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Robinson A. et al., ‘Plasmodium-associated changes in human odor attract mosquitoes’, PNAS, 2018.

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